Heavy winter fog at major Indian airports often leads to delayed and cancelled flights during peak travel season.
Each winter, when the weather in North and Central India turns colder, air passengers anticipate an experience that has become a routine practice: flight delays, diversions, cancellations, and hours spent in an airport covered with mists. In Delhi to Amritsar, Lucknow to Varanasi winter delays on flights are new headlines like season.
To the passengers, it is a frustrating experience. In the case of airlines, it is operationally draining. Winter is the worst season in the aviation calendar of airports and air traffic controllers.
Why then do we have flights delayed all the time during winter in India? Is it because it is foggy or are there deeper systems issues at the systemic level? More to the point, what can airlines in particular do to mitigate winter flight disruption rather than accept that it is inevitable?
This analytical piece of work determines the true cause of the lack of flight punctuality during winter seasons in India, the history and infrastructure in India that relate to the delay of flights, weather and fog as causes of flight delays, and solutions in details and future that airlines and airports should take on to counter these delays to safeguard passenger and operations.
Indian aviation has always been put through winter test. In contrast to snow related disruptiveness in Europe or North America, the snow disruption in India is principally of the type of thick fog, low visibility, and cold weather operating constraints.
With reference to the official aviation statistics released during recent years by the government, according to handout information most of the winter flight delays in North India are directly or indirectly related to fog. The rest occur as results of cascading operational failures that proceed subsequent weather disturbances.
The peculiar feature of India is the geographical density of fog airports. Delhi, the busiest air terminal in India, turns out to be the centre of winter flight disruption. When Delhi decelerates, the impact becomes damaging throughout the domestic network.
The delays at winter flights are not a one-off event. These are disruptions which are network-wide.
Fog might be seen to be insignificant when compared to storms or snow falls, but visibility is everything in aviation.
The visibility is reduced to below 50 meters during peak winter mornings and late nights at several Indian airports and at times even zero visibility. In such scenarios:
This seriously limits the capacity of the airport.
Fog does not move quickly as the rain or wind. It also stays hours, particularly in the Indo-Gangtic plains and therefore delays are not instantaneous.
The formation of fog in North India depends on a complex of:
This produces radiation fog that may be dense and extend throughout the night till late in the morning.
Aviation wise it results into:
In the situation of active LVPs, capacity of the airports may decrease by approximately 50%.
Although the cause of winter flight delays in India is around fog there are a number of structural and operational problems that intensify delays.
Not every Indian airport has a Category III Instrument Landing System (ILS) that enables planes to land even when the visibility is so low.
Even under conditions of Cat III ILS:
Such a mismatch generates selective functions making the whole system slow down.
Winter operations require:
With the peak seasons, however, there is no or very little spare capacity in airlines, so any disturbance caused by the winter can be a major problem.
When one flight is delayed:
It is through this that an individual delay caused by a fog turns out to be a network jam.
Airports in the Indian metros work near their full capacity even on a normal day.
During winter:
This is causing a bottleneck effect that can be addressed by no single airline.
Give the example of a business traveler who is taking a flight between Delhi and Bengaluru in January.
The flight will start at 7:00 AM. There is thick fog making the visibility only 100 meters. Low visibility procedures become eligible. Departures slow down. The plane has been late in an earlier flight. The crew is working under a limited number of hours.
By the time the fog lifts at 10:30 AM:
The passenger loses meetings, links, and hotel reservations. The airline absorbs cost. The airport has the problem of handling the crowd.
The situation happens hundreds of times a year in winter.
The aviation ecosystem in India has its own issues during winter and is not similar to the global environment.
India boasts of the fastest growing domestic aviation market. The continued demand during winter is because of the weddings, holidays and business travel.
Young markets unlike the mature markets, passengers are not given enough alternative modes of transportation thus being more dependent on flights.
Numerous Tier-2 and Tier-3 airports are deficient in:
Diversions to these airports are usually accompanied with additional delays.
Inadequate communication is one of the greatest complaints with delay during wintertime.
Passengers often report:
This converts the customer trust problem to weather delays.
The winter disturbances can never be completely cleared. Nevertheless, they can be mitigated by a lot of planning, investment and responsibility.
Airlines must accelerate:
This will guarantee that more flights can be made to work safely in fog.
The airlines should not keep summer schedules during winter, instead:
This enhances on-time performance even when it is interrupted.
Airlines need:
This avoids cancellations.
Real-time operations coordination between: is required in winter operations.
Confusion in the case of real fog can be minimized by joint winter practice drills.
The airports are not onlookers of winter aviation.
They must focus on:
The large airports should also invest in AI-powered weather forecasting systems that are able to predict the onset of the fog with more precision.
The aviation regulator and infrastructure planners are very important.
Key focus areas include:
Delays of winter flights should be regarded not as a seasonal but as a systemic problem.
The countries with serious winters have proven that disruption can be reduced.
Key takeaways:
In the future, Indian aviation should be ready to:
Emerging solutions include:
Winter aviation has to exist in the future which requires proactive planning rather than apologies.
Passengers do not have nothing to do.
Practical steps include:
Educated passengers have fewer shocks.
Winter flight delays in India are factual, habitual and disruptive. Chaos cannot be natural, and it may be fog.
With:
Disruption of flights during winter can be greatly decreased by airlines.
To the passengers, preparation and awareness is the key. To the airlines and authorities, accountability and investment cannot be compromised.
Each year winter will come back. It is not whether or not flights will be put in the fog, the question is whether or not the aviation system is prepared to meet it.
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